Flávio Bolsonaro’s official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL) as his vice-presidential running mate for the October presidential election has driven the near-certain market consensus around Gaspar. The choice concluded weeks of internal Liberal Party discussions after efforts to secure a female candidate or broader alliances with other right-leaning parties fell short, resulting in an all-PL ticket. Multiple other names previously floated, including Bia Kicis, Tereza Cristina, and Rogério Marinho, received no formal endorsement and now carry minimal implied probability. The decision aligns with the final party convention deadline and reflects the campaign’s limited coalition-building options ahead of the vote against incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Late developments such as additional party defections or health-related changes could still alter the ticket before the election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿爾弗雷多·加斯帕爾 99.8%
馬克斯·龐特斯 <1%
羅傑里奧·馬里尼奧 <1%
特蕾莎·克里斯蒂娜 <1%
$29,561 交易量
$29,561 交易量
阿爾弗雷多·加斯帕爾
100%
馬克斯·龐特斯
<1%
羅傑里奧·馬里尼奧
<1%
特蕾莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
席莫內·馬爾凱托
<1%
克拉麗莎·特西奧
<1%
丹妮拉·馬克斯
<1%
達瑪瑞絲·阿爾維斯
<1%
雷納塔·阿布雷烏
<1%
吉爾森·馬查多
<1%
米歇爾·博索納羅
<1%
比亞·基西斯
<1%
朱利婭·扎納塔
<1%
普莉西拉·科斯塔
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
阿爾弗雷多·加斯帕爾 99.8%
馬克斯·龐特斯 <1%
羅傑里奧·馬里尼奧 <1%
特蕾莎·克里斯蒂娜 <1%
$29,561 交易量
$29,561 交易量
阿爾弗雷多·加斯帕爾
100%
馬克斯·龐特斯
<1%
羅傑里奧·馬里尼奧
<1%
特蕾莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
席莫內·馬爾凱托
<1%
克拉麗莎·特西奧
<1%
丹妮拉·馬克斯
<1%
達瑪瑞絲·阿爾維斯
<1%
雷納塔·阿布雷烏
<1%
吉爾森·馬查多
<1%
米歇爾·博索納羅
<1%
比亞·基西斯
<1%
朱利婭·扎納塔
<1%
普莉西拉·科斯塔
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro’s official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL) as his vice-presidential running mate for the October presidential election has driven the near-certain market consensus around Gaspar. The choice concluded weeks of internal Liberal Party discussions after efforts to secure a female candidate or broader alliances with other right-leaning parties fell short, resulting in an all-PL ticket. Multiple other names previously floated, including Bia Kicis, Tereza Cristina, and Rogério Marinho, received no formal endorsement and now carry minimal implied probability. The decision aligns with the final party convention deadline and reflects the campaign’s limited coalition-building options ahead of the vote against incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Late developments such as additional party defections or health-related changes could still alter the ticket before the election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions