The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$42,336 交易量
$42,336 交易量
2026-05-16
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$42,336 交易量
$42,336 交易量
2026-05-16
8°C or below
$1,863 交易量
No
9°C
$1,389 交易量
No
10°C
$2,202 交易量
No
11°C
$3,186 交易量
No
12°C
$9,705 交易量
Yes
13°C
$6,997 交易量
No
14°C
$6,323 交易量
No
15°C
$4,399 交易量
No
16°C
$1,835 交易量
No
17°C
$1,381 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$3,057 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$42,336結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$42,336結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The market's decisive 100% implied probability on a 12°C high for Amsterdam on May 16 reflects the official maximum temperature recorded at the city's primary meteorological station, as reported by the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). With the observation period now complete, real-time surface data and quality-controlled readings have locked in this value, leaving no room for further atmospheric shifts. Traders recognize that post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty, though rare revisions from station calibration checks or micro-climate adjustments could theoretically alter the final figure if discrepancies emerge in the next few days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions