**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models positions Austin’s August 27 maximum near 101°F, driving the 41% market weight on 100-101°F.** Southerly flow and residual heat from recent 103–104°F days support upper-90s to low-100s readings, while 30–40% afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap peaks and widen the distribution toward 98–99°F (20%) and 102–103°F (18%). Historical August climatology in Central Texas shows frequent 100°F+ days under similar patterns, yet the current instability reduces odds of extremes above 103°F. Latest model runs and NWS updates showing modest moisture advection continue to anchor trader sentiment around the 100–102°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
100-101華氏度 41%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 9%
95°F或以下
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
20%
100-101華氏度
41%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
華氏114度或更高
<1%
100-101華氏度 41%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 18%
96-97°F 9%
95°F或以下
2%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
20%
100-101華氏度
41%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
華氏114度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models positions Austin’s August 27 maximum near 101°F, driving the 41% market weight on 100-101°F.** Southerly flow and residual heat from recent 103–104°F days support upper-90s to low-100s readings, while 30–40% afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cloud cover and evaporative cooling that cap peaks and widen the distribution toward 98–99°F (20%) and 102–103°F (18%). Historical August climatology in Central Texas shows frequent 100°F+ days under similar patterns, yet the current instability reduces odds of extremes above 103°F. Latest model runs and NWS updates showing modest moisture advection continue to anchor trader sentiment around the 100–102°F range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions