Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daytime high near 11°C in Buenos Aires on August 13, 2026, underpinning the 60.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, moderate south-easterly winds, and a stable mid-winter air mass over the region limit daytime warming, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal baselines around 15°C but suppressed by reduced solar insolation. Nearby options at 10°C and 12°C capture residual model uncertainty from minor forecast adjustments, while higher or lower extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant synoptic shifts on the day. Traders monitoring updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and surface observations can anticipate limited movement until final readings confirm the maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
11°C 63%
10°C 20%
12°C 18%
13°C 3%
$18,764 交易量
$18,764 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
20%
11°C
63%
12°C
18%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 63%
10°C 20%
12°C 18%
13°C 3%
$18,764 交易量
$18,764 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
20%
11°C
63%
12°C
18%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a daytime high near 11°C in Buenos Aires on August 13, 2026, underpinning the 60.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, moderate south-easterly winds, and a stable mid-winter air mass over the region limit daytime warming, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal baselines around 15°C but suppressed by reduced solar insolation. Nearby options at 10°C and 12°C capture residual model uncertainty from minor forecast adjustments, while higher or lower extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant synoptic shifts on the day. Traders monitoring updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and surface observations can anticipate limited movement until final readings confirm the maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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