Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the daytime maximum near 14 °C at the official Ministro Pistarini station, supported by partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow that limits afternoon heating. This positions the 14 °C outcome at 54 % market-implied probability, with the 15 °C bracket at 36 % reflecting modest uncertainty in the final observation. Mid-May climatology shows typical highs of 17–19 °C, yet recent post-frontal cooling has kept temperatures at or below the seasonal norm, consistent with model consensus. Traders are monitoring the next official update and any late-day cloud changes that could nudge the peak by 1 °C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 66%
15°C 36%
16°C 2.1%
17°C <1%
$24,752 交易量
$24,752 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
66%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 66%
15°C 36%
16°C 2.1%
17°C <1%
$24,752 交易量
$24,752 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
66%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the daytime maximum near 14 °C at the official Ministro Pistarini station, supported by partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow that limits afternoon heating. This positions the 14 °C outcome at 54 % market-implied probability, with the 15 °C bracket at 36 % reflecting modest uncertainty in the final observation. Mid-May climatology shows typical highs of 17–19 °C, yet recent post-frontal cooling has kept temperatures at or below the seasonal norm, consistent with model consensus. Traders are monitoring the next official update and any late-day cloud changes that could nudge the peak by 1 °C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions