Traders have overwhelmingly positioned for a 20°C high in Cape Town on May 17, driven by the latest forecast consensus from the South African Weather Service showing stable high-pressure conditions and a daily maximum precisely at this level. Current observations from official stations track closely with model runs projecting mild autumn temperatures typical for the region, where historical May highs average near 18–20°C under similar atmospheric patterns. With no incoming cold fronts or significant warming expected before resolution, the market-implied odds reflect strong alignment between real-time data and established climatological baselines. Only an abrupt, unforecast shift in local wind or cloud cover could realistically alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦5月17日最高溫度?
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,731 交易量
$19,731 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,731 交易量
$19,731 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned for a 20°C high in Cape Town on May 17, driven by the latest forecast consensus from the South African Weather Service showing stable high-pressure conditions and a daily maximum precisely at this level. Current observations from official stations track closely with model runs projecting mild autumn temperatures typical for the region, where historical May highs average near 18–20°C under similar atmospheric patterns. With no incoming cold fronts or significant warming expected before resolution, the market-implied odds reflect strong alignment between real-time data and established climatological baselines. Only an abrupt, unforecast shift in local wind or cloud cover could realistically alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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