Latest meteorological forecasts for Cape Town indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, with models converging on a daily maximum near 21–22°C for May 18. This aligns with mid-autumn patterns where the cool Benguela Current moderates temperatures, keeping averages around 19°C while occasional warmer air intrusions push peaks slightly higher. Recent observations, including a 21.6°C reading on May 16, support the current market-implied odds favoring 21°C as the most probable outcome. South African Weather Service updates and ensemble model runs expected over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦5月18日的最高溫度？
開普敦5月18日的最高溫度？
21°C 44%
22°C 27%
20°C 11.8%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
44%
22°C
27%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
1%
21°C 44%
22°C 27%
20°C 11.8%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
15°C或以下
$342 交易量
<1%
16°C
$541 交易量
<1%
17°C
$503 交易量
<1%
18°C
$869 交易量
1%
19°C
$802 交易量
2%
20°C
$679 交易量
12%
21°C
$1,772 交易量
44%
22°C
$1,023 交易量
27%
23°C
$1,336 交易量
11%
24°C
$914 交易量
1%
25°C或以上
$391 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts for Cape Town indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, with models converging on a daily maximum near 21–22°C for May 18. This aligns with mid-autumn patterns where the cool Benguela Current moderates temperatures, keeping averages around 19°C while occasional warmer air intrusions push peaks slightly higher. Recent observations, including a 21.6°C reading on May 16, support the current market-implied odds favoring 21°C as the most probable outcome. South African Weather Service updates and ensemble model runs expected over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$9,174結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts for Cape Town indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, with models converging on a daily maximum near 21–22°C for May 18. This aligns with mid-autumn patterns where the cool Benguela Current moderates temperatures, keeping averages around 19°C while occasional warmer air intrusions push peaks slightly higher. Recent observations, including a 21.6°C reading on May 16, support the current market-implied odds favoring 21°C as the most probable outcome. South African Weather Service updates and ensemble model runs expected over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,174結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest meteorological forecasts for Cape Town indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, with models converging on a daily maximum near 21–22°C for May 18. This aligns with mid-autumn patterns where the cool Benguela Current moderates temperatures, keeping averages around 19°C while occasional warmer air intrusions push peaks slightly higher. Recent observations, including a 21.6°C reading on May 16, support the current market-implied odds favoring 21°C as the most probable outcome. South African Weather Service updates and ensemble model runs expected over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions