Official meteorological observations from Dallas Love Field station have confirmed a daily high temperature of at least 86°F on May 15, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading aligns with regional atmospheric patterns, including warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover that supported surface heating consistent with late-spring climatology for north Texas. Historical data from the station show May highs averaging near 86°F, with recent model guidance and preliminary reports indicating no significant cooling influences like frontal passages. Traders' consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements, though an improbable revision in official post-analysis data remains the only theoretical factor that could alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on May 15?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$22,084 交易量
$22,084 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$22,084 交易量
$22,084 交易量
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from Dallas Love Field station have confirmed a daily high temperature of at least 86°F on May 15, 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading aligns with regional atmospheric patterns, including warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover that supported surface heating consistent with late-spring climatology for north Texas. Historical data from the station show May highs averaging near 86°F, with recent model guidance and preliminary reports indicating no significant cooling influences like frontal passages. Traders' consensus reflects the reliability of these verified measurements, though an improbable revision in official post-analysis data remains the only theoretical factor that could alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions