Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul will reach a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17, aligning with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C derived from long-term Turkish State Meteorological Service records. Stable southeasterly flow and limited moisture have kept model consensus tightly clustered around this value, with minimal spread from cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects. This scientific backing underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 22°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of current observational trends and historical analogs. A modest shift in afternoon insolation or unexpected onshore winds could still produce a 21°C or 23°C reading before final NOAA airport data resolve the outcome later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾5月17日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾5月17日的最高溫度？
22°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$60,598 交易量
$60,598 交易量
2026-05-17
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$60,598 交易量
$60,598 交易量
2026-05-17
14°C or below
$552 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,271 交易量
<1%
16°C
$13,506 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,184 交易量
<1%
18°C
$5,050 交易量
<1%
19°C
$4,817 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,690 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,519 交易量
<1%
22°C
$8,073 交易量
100%
23°C
$6,684 交易量
<1%
24°C or higher
$11,327 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul will reach a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17, aligning with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C derived from long-term Turkish State Meteorological Service records. Stable southeasterly flow and limited moisture have kept model consensus tightly clustered around this value, with minimal spread from cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects. This scientific backing underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 22°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of current observational trends and historical analogs. A modest shift in afternoon insolation or unexpected onshore winds could still produce a 21°C or 23°C reading before final NOAA airport data resolve the outcome later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$60,598結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul will reach a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17, aligning with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C derived from long-term Turkish State Meteorological Service records. Stable southeasterly flow and limited moisture have kept model consensus tightly clustered around this value, with minimal spread from cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects. This scientific backing underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 22°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of current observational trends and historical analogs. A modest shift in afternoon insolation or unexpected onshore winds could still produce a 21°C or 23°C reading before final NOAA airport data resolve the outcome later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$60,598結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul will reach a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17, aligning with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22°C derived from long-term Turkish State Meteorological Service records. Stable southeasterly flow and limited moisture have kept model consensus tightly clustered around this value, with minimal spread from cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects. This scientific backing underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 22°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of current observational trends and historical analogs. A modest shift in afternoon insolation or unexpected onshore winds could still produce a 21°C or 23°C reading before final NOAA airport data resolve the outcome later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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