Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service places average highs in the 20–22 °C range, with limited day-to-day variability driven by stable springtime pressure patterns over the Marmara region. Minor differences between 21 °C and 22 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light southerly flow that can add or subtract a degree. Final resolution rests on official station observations, which typically finalize within 24 hours of the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾5月18日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾5月18日的最高溫度？
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 14.8%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
33%
22°C
34%
23°C or higher
15%
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 14.8%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C or below
$589 交易量
<1%
14°C
$779 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,124 交易量
<1%
16°C
$800 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,704 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,212 交易量
<1%
19°C
$825 交易量
5%
20°C
$440 交易量
14%
21°C
$487 交易量
33%
22°C
$356 交易量
34%
23°C or higher
$894 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service places average highs in the 20–22 °C range, with limited day-to-day variability driven by stable springtime pressure patterns over the Marmara region. Minor differences between 21 °C and 22 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light southerly flow that can add or subtract a degree. Final resolution rests on official station observations, which typically finalize within 24 hours of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$9,063結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service places average highs in the 20–22 °C range, with limited day-to-day variability driven by stable springtime pressure patterns over the Marmara region. Minor differences between 21 °C and 22 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light southerly flow that can add or subtract a degree. Final resolution rests on official station observations, which typically finalize within 24 hours of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,063結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology recorded by the Turkish State Meteorological Service places average highs in the 20–22 °C range, with limited day-to-day variability driven by stable springtime pressure patterns over the Marmara region. Minor differences between 21 °C and 22 °C hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and light southerly flow that can add or subtract a degree. Final resolution rests on official station observations, which typically finalize within 24 hours of the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions