Recent PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City confirm afternoon temperatures climbing toward 36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning with model consensus for Metro Manila’s peak on May 17. This outcome reflects the dry-season climatology where solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and convective activity limits further rises, consistent with May averages of 33–35°C and current high-pressure patterns over the South China Sea. Trader consensus at near-certainty incorporates these verified measurements and short-range forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-day surge above 37°C driven by unexpectedly clear conditions and suppressed cloud cover before final daily extremes are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
36°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,777 交易量
$29,777 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,777 交易量
$29,777 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City confirm afternoon temperatures climbing toward 36°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning with model consensus for Metro Manila’s peak on May 17. This outcome reflects the dry-season climatology where solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and convective activity limits further rises, consistent with May averages of 33–35°C and current high-pressure patterns over the South China Sea. Trader consensus at near-certainty incorporates these verified measurements and short-range forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-day surge above 37°C driven by unexpectedly clear conditions and suppressed cloud cover before final daily extremes are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions