National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Miami today, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets. These conditions reflect typical mid-May climatology, when average highs reach 85 °F amid moderating trade winds and sea-breeze influences that limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized sea-breeze timing that could nudge the peak by a degree or two. Traders are therefore pricing in a narrow range centered on historical norms rather than any unusual warming or cooling signal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日邁阿密的最高溫度?
84-85°F 61%
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 6.6%
90-91°F <1%
$80,176 交易量
$80,176 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
61%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
84-85°F 61%
86-87°F 34%
88-89°F 6.6%
90-91°F <1%
$80,176 交易量
$80,176 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
61%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Miami today, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets. These conditions reflect typical mid-May climatology, when average highs reach 85 °F amid moderating trade winds and sea-breeze influences that limit afternoon heating. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized sea-breeze timing that could nudge the peak by a degree or two. Traders are therefore pricing in a narrow range centered on historical norms rather than any unusual warming or cooling signal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions