National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami today, supporting daytime highs in the upper 80s through a combination of moderate solar heating and limited afternoon convection. This setup creates the tight split between the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets, as small variations in cloud timing or sea-breeze strength can shift the peak by a degree or two. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 85 °F, placing today’s outlook squarely within the typical range and underscoring why lower-probability outcomes above 88 °F remain remote absent rapid clearing or stronger insolation. Updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日邁阿密的最高溫度?
86-87°F 69%
88-89°F 31.3%
84-85°F 1.0%
90-91°F 1.0%
$96,428 交易量
$96,428 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
69%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
86-87°F 69%
88-89°F 31.3%
84-85°F 1.0%
90-91°F 1.0%
$96,428 交易量
$96,428 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
69%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami today, supporting daytime highs in the upper 80s through a combination of moderate solar heating and limited afternoon convection. This setup creates the tight split between the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets, as small variations in cloud timing or sea-breeze strength can shift the peak by a degree or two. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 85 °F, placing today’s outlook squarely within the typical range and underscoring why lower-probability outcomes above 88 °F remain remote absent rapid clearing or stronger insolation. Updated model runs through the afternoon will refine the exact maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions