National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project Miami’s daytime high today near 86°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow typical of late-spring patterns. This consensus, consistent with seasonal averages around 85°F and historical May maxima near 87°F, underpins the market’s strong 83% implied probability on the 86-87°F bin while limiting upside risk above 90°F. Recent model updates this morning show minimal spread, with afternoon solar heating moderated by regional humidity and cloud cover, leaving only modest room for an 88-89°F outcome at 15%. Updated observations through the evening window will resolve the contract against Miami International Airport station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日邁阿密的最高溫度?
86-87°F 83%
88-89°F 12.9%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$111,118 交易量
$111,118 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
83%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
86-87°F 83%
88-89°F 12.9%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$111,118 交易量
$111,118 交易量
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
83%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project Miami’s daytime high today near 86°F under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow typical of late-spring patterns. This consensus, consistent with seasonal averages around 85°F and historical May maxima near 87°F, underpins the market’s strong 83% implied probability on the 86-87°F bin while limiting upside risk above 90°F. Recent model updates this morning show minimal spread, with afternoon solar heating moderated by regional humidity and cloud cover, leaving only modest room for an 88-89°F outcome at 15%. Updated observations through the evening window will resolve the contract against Miami International Airport station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions