Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, driven by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow that limits strong heating while allowing modest afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with typical May climatology near Miami International Airport, where historical maxima average 85–87°F under similar moisture and weak frontal influences. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered showers could cap temperatures near the upper end of the favored range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 86–89°F outcomes. Updated model runs this evening continue to show tight clustering around these values, with minimal risk of exceeding 90°F absent unexpected clearing or stronger high pressure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日邁阿密的最高溫度?
86-87°F 47%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 5%
$18,465 交易量
$18,465 交易量
華氏77度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或以上
<1%
86-87°F 47%
88-89°F 31%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 5%
$18,465 交易量
$18,465 交易量
華氏77度或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
47%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service ensemble guidance projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, driven by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow that limits strong heating while allowing modest afternoon mixing. This setup aligns with typical May climatology near Miami International Airport, where historical maxima average 85–87°F under similar moisture and weak frontal influences. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered showers could cap temperatures near the upper end of the favored range, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 86–89°F outcomes. Updated model runs this evening continue to show tight clustering around these values, with minimal risk of exceeding 90°F absent unexpected clearing or stronger high pressure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions