Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cool maritime air mass dominating central Europe, keeping Munich’s daytime maximum firmly at 13°C. This consensus arises from verified surface observations and ensemble runs showing minimal diurnal warming under persistent cloud cover and northerly flow, consistent with May climatological baselines around 18°C but suppressed by a 5–6°C negative anomaly. Traders have converged on this outcome because official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance and real-time station data align without meaningful spread. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearance or model bias exceeding 2°C could shift resolution above 13°C, scenarios assigned low probability given current observational agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$81,879 交易量
$81,879 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$81,879 交易量
$81,879 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cool maritime air mass dominating central Europe, keeping Munich’s daytime maximum firmly at 13°C. This consensus arises from verified surface observations and ensemble runs showing minimal diurnal warming under persistent cloud cover and northerly flow, consistent with May climatological baselines around 18°C but suppressed by a 5–6°C negative anomaly. Traders have converged on this outcome because official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance and real-time station data align without meaningful spread. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearance or model bias exceeding 2°C could shift resolution above 13°C, scenarios assigned low probability given current observational agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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