Trader consensus on Polymarket closely tracks the latest ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project Munich's highest temperature on May 17 at 14–17°C amid a cool, unsettled synoptic pattern featuring a upper-level trough over central Europe and northerly flow. The narrow lead for 16°C (23.5%) and 17°C (22.5%) reflects slight model spread, with ECMWF favoring modest afternoon warming under partial cloud breaks, while DWD's ICON emphasizes persistent stratocumulus suppressing peaks near 15°C. Key differentiators include uncertainty in convective timing—potential showers could cap highs at 14–15°C, versus drier scenarios allowing 17°C—and recent soil moisture from mid-May rains limiting surface heating. Historical mid-May averages hover at 18°C, but the ongoing cooler-than-normal regime dominates; watch DWD's May 16 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Munich Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日慕尼黑最高溫度？
5月17日慕尼黑最高溫度？
16°C 35%
17°C 32%
15°C 15%
18°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
15%
16°C
35%
17°C
32%
18°C
11%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 35%
17°C 32%
15°C 15%
18°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
11°C or below
$100 交易量
1%
12°C
$65 交易量
1%
13°C
$171 交易量
1%
14°C
$0 交易量
6%
15°C
$2 交易量
15%
16°C
$64 交易量
35%
17°C
$57 交易量
32%
18°C
$92 交易量
11%
19°C
$2 交易量
1%
20°C
$15 交易量
1%
21°C or higher
$162 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely tracks the latest ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project Munich's highest temperature on May 17 at 14–17°C amid a cool, unsettled synoptic pattern featuring a upper-level trough over central Europe and northerly flow. The narrow lead for 16°C (23.5%) and 17°C (22.5%) reflects slight model spread, with ECMWF favoring modest afternoon warming under partial cloud breaks, while DWD's ICON emphasizes persistent stratocumulus suppressing peaks near 15°C. Key differentiators include uncertainty in convective timing—potential showers could cap highs at 14–15°C, versus drier scenarios allowing 17°C—and recent soil moisture from mid-May rains limiting surface heating. Historical mid-May averages hover at 18°C, but the ongoing cooler-than-normal regime dominates; watch DWD's May 16 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$730結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely tracks the latest ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project Munich's highest temperature on May 17 at 14–17°C amid a cool, unsettled synoptic pattern featuring a upper-level trough over central Europe and northerly flow. The narrow lead for 16°C (23.5%) and 17°C (22.5%) reflects slight model spread, with ECMWF favoring modest afternoon warming under partial cloud breaks, while DWD's ICON emphasizes persistent stratocumulus suppressing peaks near 15°C. Key differentiators include uncertainty in convective timing—potential showers could cap highs at 14–15°C, versus drier scenarios allowing 17°C—and recent soil moisture from mid-May rains limiting surface heating. Historical mid-May averages hover at 18°C, but the ongoing cooler-than-normal regime dominates; watch DWD's May 16 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$730結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely tracks the latest ensemble forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project Munich's highest temperature on May 17 at 14–17°C amid a cool, unsettled synoptic pattern featuring a upper-level trough over central Europe and northerly flow. The narrow lead for 16°C (23.5%) and 17°C (22.5%) reflects slight model spread, with ECMWF favoring modest afternoon warming under partial cloud breaks, while DWD's ICON emphasizes persistent stratocumulus suppressing peaks near 15°C. Key differentiators include uncertainty in convective timing—potential showers could cap highs at 14–15°C, versus drier scenarios allowing 17°C—and recent soil moisture from mid-May rains limiting surface heating. Historical mid-May averages hover at 18°C, but the ongoing cooler-than-normal regime dominates; watch DWD's May 16 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Munich Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions