Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s expected daily maximum temperature for May 18 near 19°C, aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 18–19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the tight spread between 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C outcomes arises from typical short-range model uncertainty in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the timing of a weak approaching front that could cap or enhance peak heating by 1–2°C. Official German Weather Service guidance and subsequent model cycles through May 17 remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日慕尼黑最高溫度？
5月18日慕尼黑最高溫度？
19°C 36%
20°C 28%
18°C 24%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
24%
19°C
36%
20°C
28%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 28%
18°C 24%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C or below
$290 交易量
<1%
14°C
$137 交易量
<1%
15°C
$167 交易量
1%
16°C
$149 交易量
3%
17°C
$427 交易量
6%
18°C
$348 交易量
24%
19°C
$180 交易量
36%
20°C
$177 交易量
28%
21°C
$201 交易量
7%
22°C
$143 交易量
5%
23°C or higher
$283 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s expected daily maximum temperature for May 18 near 19°C, aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 18–19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the tight spread between 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C outcomes arises from typical short-range model uncertainty in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the timing of a weak approaching front that could cap or enhance peak heating by 1–2°C. Official German Weather Service guidance and subsequent model cycles through May 17 remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,502結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s expected daily maximum temperature for May 18 near 19°C, aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 18–19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the tight spread between 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C outcomes arises from typical short-range model uncertainty in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the timing of a weak approaching front that could cap or enhance peak heating by 1–2°C. Official German Weather Service guidance and subsequent model cycles through May 17 remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,502結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models place Munich’s expected daily maximum temperature for May 18 near 19°C, aligning with mid-May climatological normals of 18–19°C. Trader consensus reflected in the tight spread between 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C outcomes arises from typical short-range model uncertainty in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the timing of a weak approaching front that could cap or enhance peak heating by 1–2°C. Official German Weather Service guidance and subsequent model cycles through May 17 remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities ahead of the market’s resolution threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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