Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 17–18°C in Munich on May 19, driven by moderate westerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge that limits strong warming while allowing partial cloud cover. This positioning reflects typical mid-May climatology for southern Bavaria, where average highs hover around 18°C amid variable springtime advection of Atlantic air masses. Subtle differences among the closely matched leading outcomes hinge on short-term factors such as daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat retention, with model runs showing low spread that keeps probabilities for 19°C or higher under 20%. Updated guidance from the German Weather Service expected within the next 24 hours could refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日慕尼黑最高溫度?
18°C 36%
17°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 17%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
20%
17°C
26%
18°C
31%
19°C
17%
20°C
5%
21°C或以上
1%
18°C 36%
17°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 17%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
20%
17°C
26%
18°C
31%
19°C
17%
20°C
5%
21°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a likely daily maximum near 17–18°C in Munich on May 19, driven by moderate westerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge that limits strong warming while allowing partial cloud cover. This positioning reflects typical mid-May climatology for southern Bavaria, where average highs hover around 18°C amid variable springtime advection of Atlantic air masses. Subtle differences among the closely matched leading outcomes hinge on short-term factors such as daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat retention, with model runs showing low spread that keeps probabilities for 19°C or higher under 20%. Updated guidance from the German Weather Service expected within the next 24 hours could refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions