Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$178,825 交易量
$178,825 交易量
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$178,825 交易量
$178,825 交易量
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 66-67°F as the highest temperature at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—with near-certainty driven by official National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 66°F amid persistent showers and overcast skies on May 14. This aligns with pre-event forecast model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-60s highs under a cool upper-level trough over the Northeast, featuring 850 mb temperatures around 6°C that capped convective potential and diurnal heating. Cloudy conditions and a stalled frontal boundary limited solar insolation, keeping readings 3-5°F below the mid-May climatological average of 70°F. Final data ratification is pending but unlikely to shift, barring rare measurement revisions; clearing skies on May 15 signal a rebound.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions