Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 16?
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,588 交易量
$44,588 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,588 交易量
$44,588 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs, indicate a daytime maximum of 21 °C for Qingdao on May 16 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, locking in the market’s 100 % consensus on that exact outcome. These models show minimal spread around the peak value, with no strong advection or solar heating expected to push readings higher. Only an unanticipated late-day wind shift or rapid clearing could allow temperatures to reach 22 °C or above before the official daily maximum is recorded, though current guidance assigns that scenario low probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions