Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 11?
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,654 交易量
$82,654 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,654 交易量
$82,654 交易量
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 9, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on May 11 reached exactly 17°C at the primary urban station, reflecting trader consensus with 100% market-implied probability on this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and cold air advection from a recent frente fria suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs well below the climatological May average of 23°C amid stable high-pressure conditions noted in INMET's weekly outlook. This positioning aligns with pre-event model consensus from INMET and CPTEC/INPE projecting maxima near 17°C. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or alternative station records exceeding 17°C, but final INMET bulletins typically solidify such measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions