Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance clusters around an 78–81 °F high for Seattle on August 13 under building high pressure and clear skies that promote daytime heating while light westerly flow limits marine cooling from Puget Sound waters near 55–60 °F. This consensus drives the market’s concentration of implied probability in the 80–81 °F (42.5 %) and 82–83 °F (27 %) bins, with the 78–79 °F outcome at 20.5 % reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any residual onshore breeze. Typical late-summer subsidence patterns and historical August maxima near 77–79 °F further anchor trader expectations near the upper end of the seasonal envelope, pending final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月13日西雅圖的最高溫度？
80-81°F 49%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 4%
最新
$15,720 交易量
最新
$15,720 交易量
2026-08-13
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 49%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 4%
最新
$15,720 交易量
最新
$15,720 交易量
2026-08-13
73°F or below
$983 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,720 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$964 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$4,333 交易量
14%
80-81°F
$1,677 交易量
49%
82-83°F
$2,177 交易量
29%
84-85°F
$1,207 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$531 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,146 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$563 交易量
<1%
92°F or higher
$421 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance clusters around an 78–81 °F high for Seattle on August 13 under building high pressure and clear skies that promote daytime heating while light westerly flow limits marine cooling from Puget Sound waters near 55–60 °F. This consensus drives the market’s concentration of implied probability in the 80–81 °F (42.5 %) and 82–83 °F (27 %) bins, with the 78–79 °F outcome at 20.5 % reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any residual onshore breeze. Typical late-summer subsidence patterns and historical August maxima near 77–79 °F further anchor trader expectations near the upper end of the seasonal envelope, pending final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$15,720結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance clusters around an 78–81 °F high for Seattle on August 13 under building high pressure and clear skies that promote daytime heating while light westerly flow limits marine cooling from Puget Sound waters near 55–60 °F. This consensus drives the market’s concentration of implied probability in the 80–81 °F (42.5 %) and 82–83 °F (27 %) bins, with the 78–79 °F outcome at 20.5 % reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any residual onshore breeze. Typical late-summer subsidence patterns and historical August maxima near 77–79 °F further anchor trader expectations near the upper end of the seasonal envelope, pending final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,720結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and private model guidance clusters around an 78–81 °F high for Seattle on August 13 under building high pressure and clear skies that promote daytime heating while light westerly flow limits marine cooling from Puget Sound waters near 55–60 °F. This consensus drives the market’s concentration of implied probability in the 80–81 °F (42.5 %) and 82–83 °F (27 %) bins, with the 78–79 °F outcome at 20.5 % reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any residual onshore breeze. Typical late-summer subsidence patterns and historical August maxima near 77–79 °F further anchor trader expectations near the upper end of the seasonal envelope, pending final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions