Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Seoul-Incheon on August 13 due to KMA forecasts of mostly clear mornings transitioning to increased afternoon cloud cover with only a 20% precipitation chance, combined with coastal sea-breeze moderation at Incheon stations and post-heatwave cooling after early-August extremes exceeding 42°C elsewhere. This aligns with mid-August subtropical climatology where average highs fall in the 30–32°C range amid high humidity, though Incheon observations often run 1–2°C below inland Seoul sites. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating toward 33°C or revised model runs showing stronger warming. Updated KMA briefings and hourly readings through the afternoon remain key near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月13日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$70,080 交易量
$70,080 交易量
2026-08-13
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$70,080 交易量
$70,080 交易量
2026-08-13
28°C or below
$5,680 交易量
<1%
29°C
$9,304 交易量
<1%
30°C
$10,570 交易量
<1%
31°C
$12,896 交易量
100%
32°C
$11,671 交易量
1%
33°C
$9,522 交易量
<1%
34°C
$5,309 交易量
<1%
35°C
$2,623 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,173 交易量
<1%
37°C
$739 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$593 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Seoul-Incheon on August 13 due to KMA forecasts of mostly clear mornings transitioning to increased afternoon cloud cover with only a 20% precipitation chance, combined with coastal sea-breeze moderation at Incheon stations and post-heatwave cooling after early-August extremes exceeding 42°C elsewhere. This aligns with mid-August subtropical climatology where average highs fall in the 30–32°C range amid high humidity, though Incheon observations often run 1–2°C below inland Seoul sites. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating toward 33°C or revised model runs showing stronger warming. Updated KMA briefings and hourly readings through the afternoon remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$70,080結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Seoul-Incheon on August 13 due to KMA forecasts of mostly clear mornings transitioning to increased afternoon cloud cover with only a 20% precipitation chance, combined with coastal sea-breeze moderation at Incheon stations and post-heatwave cooling after early-August extremes exceeding 42°C elsewhere. This aligns with mid-August subtropical climatology where average highs fall in the 30–32°C range amid high humidity, though Incheon observations often run 1–2°C below inland Seoul sites. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating toward 33°C or revised model runs showing stronger warming. Updated KMA briefings and hourly readings through the afternoon remain key near-term variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70,080結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high in Seoul-Incheon on August 13 due to KMA forecasts of mostly clear mornings transitioning to increased afternoon cloud cover with only a 20% precipitation chance, combined with coastal sea-breeze moderation at Incheon stations and post-heatwave cooling after early-August extremes exceeding 42°C elsewhere. This aligns with mid-August subtropical climatology where average highs fall in the 30–32°C range amid high humidity, though Incheon observations often run 1–2°C below inland Seoul sites. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts solar heating toward 33°C or revised model runs showing stronger warming. Updated KMA briefings and hourly readings through the afternoon remain key near-term variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions