**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a maximum of 34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of precipitation, positioning this as a key driver of trader positioning.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the region reflect persistent summer warmth and high humidity typical of peak August conditions, where average highs hover near 30–31°C but afternoon heating can push peaks higher absent significant cloud cover or rain. Ensemble models show modest cooling potential from increased cloudiness, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical climatology and current observational trends support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the precise daytime maximum recorded at Incheon stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
31°C 41%
30°C 30%
32°C 22%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
30%
31°C
41%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 30%
32°C 22%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
26°C or below
$302 交易量
<1%
27°C
$207 交易量
<1%
28°C
$809 交易量
1%
29°C
$435 交易量
5%
30°C
$1,288 交易量
30%
31°C
$1,905 交易量
41%
32°C
$974 交易量
22%
33°C
$688 交易量
5%
34°C
$730 交易量
3%
35°C
$323 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$481 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a maximum of 34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of precipitation, positioning this as a key driver of trader positioning.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the region reflect persistent summer warmth and high humidity typical of peak August conditions, where average highs hover near 30–31°C but afternoon heating can push peaks higher absent significant cloud cover or rain. Ensemble models show modest cooling potential from increased cloudiness, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical climatology and current observational trends support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the precise daytime maximum recorded at Incheon stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,144結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a maximum of 34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of precipitation, positioning this as a key driver of trader positioning.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the region reflect persistent summer warmth and high humidity typical of peak August conditions, where average highs hover near 30–31°C but afternoon heating can push peaks higher absent significant cloud cover or rain. Ensemble models show modest cooling potential from increased cloudiness, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical climatology and current observational trends support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the precise daytime maximum recorded at Incheon stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,144結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a maximum of 34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies with only a 20% chance of precipitation, positioning this as a key driver of trader positioning.** Ongoing heatwave warnings across the region reflect persistent summer warmth and high humidity typical of peak August conditions, where average highs hover near 30–31°C but afternoon heating can push peaks higher absent significant cloud cover or rain. Ensemble models show modest cooling potential from increased cloudiness, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes while assigning lower odds to extremes. Historical climatology and current observational trends support this narrow range, with resolution hinging on the precise daytime maximum recorded at Incheon stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions