KMA short-range forecasts project a 34°C daytime maximum for the Incheon station on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies both morning and afternoon, with a 20% precipitation chance and light northeasterly winds. Trader consensus around 31°C (44.5%) and 30°C (28%) instead reflects model consensus on thicker afternoon cloud build-up suppressing peak insolation, combined with Incheon’s coastal location where sea breezes typically moderate highs relative to inland Seoul sites. This follows early-August heatwave moderation after national records near 42.5°C, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages amid humid subtropical conditions. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations that could shift resolution if cloud cover or marine influence intensifies beyond current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
31°C 42%
30°C 32%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
最新
$12,119 交易量
最新
$12,119 交易量
2026-08-14
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
32%
31°C
42%
32°C
19%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 32%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
最新
$12,119 交易量
最新
$12,119 交易量
2026-08-14
26°C or below
$372 交易量
<1%
27°C
$330 交易量
<1%
28°C
$997 交易量
1%
29°C
$592 交易量
5%
30°C
$1,803 交易量
32%
31°C
$3,139 交易量
42%
32°C
$1,454 交易量
19%
33°C
$989 交易量
4%
34°C
$1,164 交易量
2%
35°C
$521 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$759 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts project a 34°C daytime maximum for the Incheon station on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies both morning and afternoon, with a 20% precipitation chance and light northeasterly winds. Trader consensus around 31°C (44.5%) and 30°C (28%) instead reflects model consensus on thicker afternoon cloud build-up suppressing peak insolation, combined with Incheon’s coastal location where sea breezes typically moderate highs relative to inland Seoul sites. This follows early-August heatwave moderation after national records near 42.5°C, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages amid humid subtropical conditions. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations that could shift resolution if cloud cover or marine influence intensifies beyond current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$12,119結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts project a 34°C daytime maximum for the Incheon station on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies both morning and afternoon, with a 20% precipitation chance and light northeasterly winds. Trader consensus around 31°C (44.5%) and 30°C (28%) instead reflects model consensus on thicker afternoon cloud build-up suppressing peak insolation, combined with Incheon’s coastal location where sea breezes typically moderate highs relative to inland Seoul sites. This follows early-August heatwave moderation after national records near 42.5°C, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages amid humid subtropical conditions. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations that could shift resolution if cloud cover or marine influence intensifies beyond current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,119結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETKMA short-range forecasts project a 34°C daytime maximum for the Incheon station on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies both morning and afternoon, with a 20% precipitation chance and light northeasterly winds. Trader consensus around 31°C (44.5%) and 30°C (28%) instead reflects model consensus on thicker afternoon cloud build-up suppressing peak insolation, combined with Incheon’s coastal location where sea breezes typically moderate highs relative to inland Seoul sites. This follows early-August heatwave moderation after national records near 42.5°C, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C averages amid humid subtropical conditions. Key near-term variables include updated KMA model runs and hourly observations that could shift resolution if cloud cover or marine influence intensifies beyond current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions