Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Seoul on May 17, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast of clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit afternoon warming. Official observations place the daytime maximum near this threshold, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when Seoul’s average high hovers around 24–26°C before the summer monsoon begins. Model consensus from regional ensembles shows minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover expected to alter surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar radiation or localized urban heat-island effects pushing readings above 25°C, though current surface data and satellite imagery indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日首爾最高溫度？
5月17日首爾最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,553 交易量
$231,553 交易量
2026-05-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,553 交易量
$231,553 交易量
2026-05-17
16°C or below
$7,794 交易量
<1%
17°C
$6,507 交易量
<1%
18°C
$9,963 交易量
<1%
19°C
$10,880 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15,133 交易量
<1%
21°C
$22,532 交易量
<1%
22°C
$28,364 交易量
<1%
23°C
$28,287 交易量
<1%
24°C
$23,626 交易量
<1%
25°C
$26,830 交易量
100%
26°C or higher
$51,637 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Seoul on May 17, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast of clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit afternoon warming. Official observations place the daytime maximum near this threshold, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when Seoul’s average high hovers around 24–26°C before the summer monsoon begins. Model consensus from regional ensembles shows minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover expected to alter surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar radiation or localized urban heat-island effects pushing readings above 25°C, though current surface data and satellite imagery indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$231,553結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Seoul on May 17, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast of clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit afternoon warming. Official observations place the daytime maximum near this threshold, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when Seoul’s average high hovers around 24–26°C before the summer monsoon begins. Model consensus from regional ensembles shows minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover expected to alter surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar radiation or localized urban heat-island effects pushing readings above 25°C, though current surface data and satellite imagery indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$231,553結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTraders have overwhelmingly converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Seoul on May 17, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s latest forecast of clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions that limit afternoon warming. Official observations place the daytime maximum near this threshold, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when Seoul’s average high hovers around 24–26°C before the summer monsoon begins. Model consensus from regional ensembles shows minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages or cloud cover expected to alter surface heating. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar radiation or localized urban heat-island effects pushing readings above 25°C, though current surface data and satellite imagery indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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