Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles have converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen on May 17, driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome to near 100%. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta are moderating daytime heating under typical subtropical spring conditions, keeping temperatures close to the seasonal average high of 28–30°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, though minor shifts in shower timing or localized urban effects could still produce a 1°C deviation. Traders are pricing in this narrow consensus while monitoring any late updates to the afternoon forecast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日深圳最高溫度?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,999 交易量
$50,999 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,999 交易量
$50,999 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles have converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen on May 17, driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome to near 100%. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta are moderating daytime heating under typical subtropical spring conditions, keeping temperatures close to the seasonal average high of 28–30°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, though minor shifts in shower timing or localized urban effects could still produce a 1°C deviation. Traders are pricing in this narrow consensus while monitoring any late updates to the afternoon forecast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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