Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月15日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,567 交易量
$30,567 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,567 交易量
$30,567 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
$488 交易量
No
31°C
$1,923 交易量
No
32°C
$5,104 交易量
No
33°C
$12,057 交易量
Yes
34°C
$4,459 交易量
No
35°C
$2,309 交易量
No
36°C
$1,163 交易量
No
37°C
$1,167 交易量
No
38°C
$945 交易量
No
39°C
$288 交易量
No
40°C or higher
$666 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$30,567結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,567結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions