Strong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean has driven intense daytime heating in Tel Aviv today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global forecast models showing minimal cloud cover and weak sea-breeze influence that allow surface temperatures to climb rapidly above the seasonal average of 26–28 °C. Official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport, the resolution source, are tracking toward or above the 35 °C threshold as of midday, aligning with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. While late-afternoon cooling or minor model revisions could still occur, current data and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns make lower maxima highly improbable before the daily peak is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,681 交易量
$74,681 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,681 交易量
$74,681 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Strong high-pressure ridging over the eastern Mediterranean has driven intense daytime heating in Tel Aviv today, with Israel Meteorological Service and global forecast models showing minimal cloud cover and weak sea-breeze influence that allow surface temperatures to climb rapidly above the seasonal average of 26–28 °C. Official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport, the resolution source, are tracking toward or above the 35 °C threshold as of midday, aligning with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. While late-afternoon cooling or minor model revisions could still occur, current data and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns make lower maxima highly improbable before the daily peak is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions