Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing Tel Aviv’s maximum well into the mid-30s Celsius or above on May 17. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are accelerating surface warming beyond the typical late-spring baseline of 26–28 °C, with recent model runs showing afternoon peaks exceeding 35 °C. This shift from cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 has solidified trader consensus around the 35 °C or higher outcome. Final real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact peak, though only an abrupt increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically prevent temperatures from reaching that threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,603 交易量
$78,603 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
Yes
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$78,603 交易量
$78,603 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing Tel Aviv’s maximum well into the mid-30s Celsius or above on May 17. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation through midday are accelerating surface warming beyond the typical late-spring baseline of 26–28 °C, with recent model runs showing afternoon peaks exceeding 35 °C. This shift from cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 has solidified trader consensus around the 35 °C or higher outcome. Final real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will confirm the exact peak, though only an abrupt increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could realistically prevent temperatures from reaching that threshold before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions