Trader consensus for a high of 35°C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 17 reflects the latest observational data and forecast models showing sustained warm advection from the south under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup promotes clear skies and enhanced solar heating, pushing daytime maxima well above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 27°C. Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service aligns with these elevated readings, and the narrow uncertainty bands in current model runs leave little room for a cooler outcome. A rapid shift to northerly flow or unexpected cloud cover could still moderate the peak, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$73,511 交易量
$73,511 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$73,511 交易量
$73,511 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus for a high of 35°C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 17 reflects the latest observational data and forecast models showing sustained warm advection from the south under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup promotes clear skies and enhanced solar heating, pushing daytime maxima well above the seasonal climatological average of roughly 27°C. Official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service aligns with these elevated readings, and the narrow uncertainty bands in current model runs leave little room for a cooler outcome. A rapid shift to northerly flow or unexpected cloud cover could still moderate the peak, though such changes appear unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions