Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature well above the 35°C threshold on May 17. Clear skies, light winds, and limited sea-breeze moderation are allowing rapid surface warming, with afternoon peaks forecast to exceed the May climatological average of 26–28°C by a wide margin. Recent observations from Ben Gurion International Airport show a sharp upward trend from cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16, reinforcing trader consensus around the dominant outcome. Final model runs and real-time station data will determine the precise peak before resolution, though scenarios such as unexpected cloud cover or a stronger onshore flow could modestly lower the maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$73,303 交易量
$73,303 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$73,303 交易量
$73,303 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature well above the 35°C threshold on May 17. Clear skies, light winds, and limited sea-breeze moderation are allowing rapid surface warming, with afternoon peaks forecast to exceed the May climatological average of 26–28°C by a wide margin. Recent observations from Ben Gurion International Airport show a sharp upward trend from cooler readings of 24–25°C on May 15–16, reinforcing trader consensus around the dominant outcome. Final model runs and real-time station data will determine the precise peak before resolution, though scenarios such as unexpected cloud cover or a stronger onshore flow could modestly lower the maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions