The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on a 32°C high for Tel Aviv on September 13 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature through the day. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover typical for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean, have produced readings aligning precisely with this threshold on the Celsius scale, consistent with historical baselines from Israel Meteorological Service data. Model consensus from agencies like NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little deviation in the final forecast window, locking in trader consensus. Only an unprecedented late-day measurement revision or instrument error at the Tel Aviv station could alter the outcome at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月13日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$15,705 交易量
$15,705 交易量
2026-09-13
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$15,705 交易量
$15,705 交易量
2026-09-13
28°C或以下
$1,112 交易量
<1%
29°C
$429 交易量
<1%
30°C
$378 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,604 交易量
<1%
32°C
$4,775 交易量
100%
33°C
$3,789 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,490 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,396 交易量
<1%
36°C
$63 交易量
<1%
37°C
$411 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$257 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on a 32°C high for Tel Aviv on September 13 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature through the day. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover typical for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean, have produced readings aligning precisely with this threshold on the Celsius scale, consistent with historical baselines from Israel Meteorological Service data. Model consensus from agencies like NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little deviation in the final forecast window, locking in trader consensus. Only an unprecedented late-day measurement revision or instrument error at the Tel Aviv station could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,705結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability on a 32°C high for Tel Aviv on September 13 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature through the day. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover typical for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean, have produced readings aligning precisely with this threshold on the Celsius scale, consistent with historical baselines from Israel Meteorological Service data. Model consensus from agencies like NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little deviation in the final forecast window, locking in trader consensus. Only an unprecedented late-day measurement revision or instrument error at the Tel Aviv station could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,705結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThe market's near-certain 100% implied probability on a 32°C high for Tel Aviv on September 13 reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature through the day. Current atmospheric conditions, including stable high-pressure systems and minimal cloud cover typical for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean, have produced readings aligning precisely with this threshold on the Celsius scale, consistent with historical baselines from Israel Meteorological Service data. Model consensus from agencies like NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed little deviation in the final forecast window, locking in trader consensus. Only an unprecedented late-day measurement revision or instrument error at the Tel Aviv station could alter the outcome at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions