Traders have overwhelmingly priced 28°C as the expected daily high in Tokyo today, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts that show maximum temperatures stabilizing near this level amid clear skies and moderate southerly winds. These projections align with current upper-level ridging that favors daytime warming above the seasonal May average of roughly 24°C, with limited cloud cover and light surface mixing supporting the consensus. While official Tokyo station observations will resolve the market on the recorded maximum, small uncertainties in boundary-layer humidity or localized sea-breeze effects could produce a 1–2°C deviation if conditions shift before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日東京氣溫最高?
28°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$94,181 交易量
$94,181 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$94,181 交易量
$94,181 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have overwhelmingly priced 28°C as the expected daily high in Tokyo today, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts that show maximum temperatures stabilizing near this level amid clear skies and moderate southerly winds. These projections align with current upper-level ridging that favors daytime warming above the seasonal May average of roughly 24°C, with limited cloud cover and light surface mixing supporting the consensus. While official Tokyo station observations will resolve the market on the recorded maximum, small uncertainties in boundary-layer humidity or localized sea-breeze effects could produce a 1–2°C deviation if conditions shift before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions