Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend under southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning Toronto’s official high near the 24–26 °C range for May 17 and anchoring trader consensus at an 80% implied probability for 26 °C. This outlook aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where southerly advection often brings above-average readings when high pressure dominates. Minor model spreads introduce the 20% chance assigned to 27 °C or higher, while lower outcomes remain negligible given the absence of cooler air intrusions or significant cloud cover. Updated guidance expected later today could refine intensity and timing ahead of the daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日多倫多氣溫最高?
26°C 80.2%
27°C或以上 17.6%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$55,059 交易量
$55,059 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
80%
27°C或以上
18%
26°C 80.2%
27°C或以上 17.6%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$55,059 交易量
$55,059 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
80%
27°C或以上
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service point to a warming trend under southwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies, positioning Toronto’s official high near the 24–26 °C range for May 17 and anchoring trader consensus at an 80% implied probability for 26 °C. This outlook aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the region, where southerly advection often brings above-average readings when high pressure dominates. Minor model spreads introduce the 20% chance assigned to 27 °C or higher, while lower outcomes remain negligible given the absence of cooler air intrusions or significant cloud cover. Updated guidance expected later today could refine intensity and timing ahead of the daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions