Current forecasts from European models and the Polish Institute of Meteorology indicate a daytime maximum near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping surface heating steady but not extreme. This equilibrium arises from stable high-pressure conditions and typical August solar insolation at Warsaw’s latitude, producing only modest diurnal rises above the seasonal baseline of roughly 23°C. Trader sentiment splits closely between the two leading outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, or exact peak-hour timing can shift the official station reading by 1°C. No major frontal systems or convective activity are expected to alter the outcome before the day’s final measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日華沙的最高溫度?
23°C 47%
24°C 41%
22°C 8%
25°C 3%
$16,927 交易量
$16,927 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
47%
24°C
41%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 41%
22°C 8%
25°C 3%
$16,927 交易量
$16,927 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
47%
24°C
41%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from European models and the Polish Institute of Meteorology indicate a daytime maximum near 23–24°C under mostly clear skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping surface heating steady but not extreme. This equilibrium arises from stable high-pressure conditions and typical August solar insolation at Warsaw’s latitude, producing only modest diurnal rises above the seasonal baseline of roughly 23°C. Trader sentiment splits closely between the two leading outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, or exact peak-hour timing can shift the official station reading by 1°C. No major frontal systems or convective activity are expected to alter the outcome before the day’s final measurement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions