Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this outcome. Persistent northerly flow has advected cooler air masses across central Poland, limiting solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions and keeping surface temperatures well below seasonal averages for mid-May. Minor uncertainties in cloud timing or brief wind shifts could allow a brief spike to 14°C, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the stable model agreement. Official verification at the primary station will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日華沙的最高溫度?
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,646 交易量
$49,646 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,646 交易量
$49,646 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this outcome. Persistent northerly flow has advected cooler air masses across central Poland, limiting solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions and keeping surface temperatures well below seasonal averages for mid-May. Minor uncertainties in cloud timing or brief wind shifts could allow a brief spike to 14°C, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the stable model agreement. Official verification at the primary station will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions