Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 13°C as Warsaw’s maximum temperature on May 17, driven by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs showing a stable high-pressure system and northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management align with this range, placing the current peak near the historical May average of 15–18 °C but tempered by recent cool advection. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour maximum recorded at the central Warsaw station, with any unexpected increase in solar radiation or southerly winds the only realistic factors that could push readings to 14 °C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日華沙的最高溫度?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,646 交易量
$49,646 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
5°C or below <1%
$49,646 交易量
$49,646 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 13°C as Warsaw’s maximum temperature on May 17, driven by the latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model runs showing a stable high-pressure system and northerly flow limiting daytime warming. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management align with this range, placing the current peak near the historical May average of 15–18 °C but tempered by recent cool advection. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour maximum recorded at the central Warsaw station, with any unexpected increase in solar radiation or southerly winds the only realistic factors that could push readings to 14 °C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions