Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 交易量
$53,840 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 交易量
$53,840 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions