Current MetService forecasts and global model ensembles point to a 14°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 19 under mid-autumn conditions, with cloud clearing to fine skies and light winds. This keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C because modest shifts in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 1°C of solar warming, while persistent southerly winds over the Cook Strait region suppress readings toward 13°C. Wellington’s May climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C, and the narrow probability spread reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs rather than any single dominant driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
5月19日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
14°C 44%
15°C 37%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
44%
15°C
37%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 44%
15°C 37%
13°C 14%
16°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
8°C or below
$407 交易量
<1%
9°C
$241 交易量
<1%
10°C
$254 交易量
1%
11°C
$73 交易量
1%
12°C
$122 交易量
3%
13°C
$419 交易量
14%
14°C
$368 交易量
44%
15°C
$200 交易量
37%
16°C
$80 交易量
8%
17°C
$307 交易量
2%
18°C or higher
$219 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current MetService forecasts and global model ensembles point to a 14°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 19 under mid-autumn conditions, with cloud clearing to fine skies and light winds. This keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C because modest shifts in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 1°C of solar warming, while persistent southerly winds over the Cook Strait region suppress readings toward 13°C. Wellington’s May climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C, and the narrow probability spread reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,683結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current MetService forecasts and global model ensembles point to a 14°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 19 under mid-autumn conditions, with cloud clearing to fine skies and light winds. This keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C because modest shifts in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 1°C of solar warming, while persistent southerly winds over the Cook Strait region suppress readings toward 13°C. Wellington’s May climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C, and the narrow probability spread reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs rather than any single dominant driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,683結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent MetService forecasts and global model ensembles point to a 14°C daytime maximum for Wellington on May 19 under mid-autumn conditions, with cloud clearing to fine skies and light winds. This keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered between 14°C and 15°C because modest shifts in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover can add 1°C of solar warming, while persistent southerly winds over the Cook Strait region suppress readings toward 13°C. Wellington’s May climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C, and the narrow probability spread reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction outputs rather than any single dominant driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions