Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 28 °C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover. This setup aligns with May climatology, where average highs typically reach 26–28 °C, while ensemble guidance shows only modest afternoon shower risk that could briefly suppress peaks. Traders have priced the 28 °C outcome at full value because official station data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport are expected to fall within the narrow 28–29 °C band, with limited scope for revisions once observations are finalized. A stronger cold front or heavier convective activity would be required to shift the reading outside this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日武漢氣溫最高?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,950 交易量
$55,950 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,950 交易量
$55,950 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum near 28 °C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover. This setup aligns with May climatology, where average highs typically reach 26–28 °C, while ensemble guidance shows only modest afternoon shower risk that could briefly suppress peaks. Traders have priced the 28 °C outcome at full value because official station data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport are expected to fall within the narrow 28–29 °C band, with limited scope for revisions once observations are finalized. A stronger cold front or heavier convective activity would be required to shift the reading outside this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions