Current meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on May 17 indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C under light rain and southeasterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Regional models from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project this value based on persistent cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, with surface observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport expected to record the official high. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26–29°C, providing context for the tight clustering around this outcome. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation or if localized urban heat effects push the reading above 29°C, though current guidance shows low probability for such deviations by resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日武漢氣溫最高?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,948 交易量
$55,948 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,948 交易量
$55,948 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current meteorological forecasts for Wuhan on May 17 indicate a maximum temperature of 28°C under light rain and southeasterly flow, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. Regional models from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles project this value based on persistent cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, with surface observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport expected to record the official high. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs near 26–29°C, providing context for the tight clustering around this outcome. A realistic shift could occur only if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation or if localized urban heat effects push the reading above 29°C, though current guidance shows low probability for such deviations by resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions