Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月10日鄭州氣溫最高？
32°C或以上 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,002 交易量
$6,002 交易量
2026-08-10
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
是
32°C或以上 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,002 交易量
$6,002 交易量
2026-08-10
22°C或以下
$292 交易量
否
23°C
$262 交易量
否
24°C
$1,282 交易量
否
25°C
$226 交易量
否
26°C
$447 交易量
否
27°C
$804 交易量
否
28°C
$358 交易量
否
29°C
$602 交易量
否
30°C
$381 交易量
否
31°C
$727 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$621 交易量
是
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,002結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,002結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Zhengzhou's midsummer climatology, with typical August daytime maxima of 31–33°C driven by subtropical high pressure and regional heat buildup, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C or higher on August 10. Current forecasts from agencies and models align with this range, showing highs near 31–33°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds that limit rapid cooling. Official station data and historical baselines for the Henan plain reinforce the consensus, as sustained warmth is the norm absent major frontal passages. A sudden increase in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or unseasonal northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable synoptic patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions