The Republican Party holds a commanding position in Iowa's fourth congressional district for the 2026 election, reflecting the area's R+15 partisan voter index and status as a conservative stronghold with strong rural and evangelical support. The open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra's decision to seek the governorship has not shifted the outlook, as Republican primary consolidation around Chris McGowan, aided by recent endorsements, has reinforced expectations of continued GOP control. Democratic candidates, including those advancing from the June 2 primary, face structural barriers in a district that delivered wide Republican margins in prior cycles. While a strong Democratic nominee or major late developments could introduce uncertainty, historical voting patterns and district demographics limit realistic paths to an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
92%
民主黨
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$4,946 交易量
92%
民主黨
$4,946 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding position in Iowa's fourth congressional district for the 2026 election, reflecting the area's R+15 partisan voter index and status as a conservative stronghold with strong rural and evangelical support. The open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra's decision to seek the governorship has not shifted the outlook, as Republican primary consolidation around Chris McGowan, aided by recent endorsements, has reinforced expectations of continued GOP control. Democratic candidates, including those advancing from the June 2 primary, face structural barriers in a district that delivered wide Republican margins in prior cycles. While a strong Democratic nominee or major late developments could introduce uncertainty, historical voting patterns and district demographics limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$9,892結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding position in Iowa's fourth congressional district for the 2026 election, reflecting the area's R+15 partisan voter index and status as a conservative stronghold with strong rural and evangelical support. The open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra's decision to seek the governorship has not shifted the outlook, as Republican primary consolidation around Chris McGowan, aided by recent endorsements, has reinforced expectations of continued GOP control. Democratic candidates, including those advancing from the June 2 primary, face structural barriers in a district that delivered wide Republican margins in prior cycles. While a strong Democratic nominee or major late developments could introduce uncertainty, historical voting patterns and district demographics limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,892結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a commanding position in Iowa's fourth congressional district for the 2026 election, reflecting the area's R+15 partisan voter index and status as a conservative stronghold with strong rural and evangelical support. The open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra's decision to seek the governorship has not shifted the outlook, as Republican primary consolidation around Chris McGowan, aided by recent endorsements, has reinforced expectations of continued GOP control. Democratic candidates, including those advancing from the June 2 primary, face structural barriers in a district that delivered wide Republican margins in prior cycles. While a strong Democratic nominee or major late developments could introduce uncertainty, historical voting patterns and district demographics limit realistic paths to an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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