Idaho's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 63% of the vote against two challengers and faces Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district's voting patterns, Simpson's long tenure since 1999, and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 61% margin in 2024, underpin the current pricing. Early 2026 polling and Cook Political Report's Solid R rating align with this positioning. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant national Democratic momentum altering turnout, or unexpected health or retirement developments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$30,364 交易量
$30,364 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
7%
$30,364 交易量
$30,364 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$13,015 交易量
94%
民主黨
$17,350 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 63% of the vote against two challengers and faces Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district's voting patterns, Simpson's long tenure since 1999, and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 61% margin in 2024, underpin the current pricing. Early 2026 polling and Cook Political Report's Solid R rating align with this positioning. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant national Democratic momentum altering turnout, or unexpected health or retirement developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$30,364結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 63% of the vote against two challengers and faces Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district's voting patterns, Simpson's long tenure since 1999, and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 61% margin in 2024, underpin the current pricing. Early 2026 polling and Cook Political Report's Solid R rating align with this positioning. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant national Democratic momentum altering turnout, or unexpected health or retirement developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,364結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Mike Simpson secured the party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 63% of the vote against two challengers and faces Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district's voting patterns, Simpson's long tenure since 1999, and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 61% margin in 2024, underpin the current pricing. Early 2026 polling and Cook Political Report's Solid R rating align with this positioning. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include a major scandal involving the incumbent, significant national Democratic momentum altering turnout, or unexpected health or retirement developments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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