Idaho’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Mike Simpson, serving his 14th term, faces two primary challengers on May 19 but holds clear advantages in name recognition and fundraising ahead of the November general election. With no prominent Democratic candidates advancing, the race lacks the polling volatility or competitive dynamics seen in swing districts. Traders’ consensus around a Republican victory aligns with historical results in this eastern Idaho and Boise-area seat. An upset could occur only if an unusually strong Democratic recruit emerges or if Simpson faces an unexpected primary defeat that weakens the nominee, though neither scenario appears likely based on current filings and district trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
92%
民主黨
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$1,885 交易量
92%
民主黨
$2,059 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Mike Simpson, serving his 14th term, faces two primary challengers on May 19 but holds clear advantages in name recognition and fundraising ahead of the November general election. With no prominent Democratic candidates advancing, the race lacks the polling volatility or competitive dynamics seen in swing districts. Traders’ consensus around a Republican victory aligns with historical results in this eastern Idaho and Boise-area seat. An upset could occur only if an unusually strong Democratic recruit emerges or if Simpson faces an unexpected primary defeat that weakens the nominee, though neither scenario appears likely based on current filings and district trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$3,944結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Mike Simpson, serving his 14th term, faces two primary challengers on May 19 but holds clear advantages in name recognition and fundraising ahead of the November general election. With no prominent Democratic candidates advancing, the race lacks the polling volatility or competitive dynamics seen in swing districts. Traders’ consensus around a Republican victory aligns with historical results in this eastern Idaho and Boise-area seat. An upset could occur only if an unusually strong Democratic recruit emerges or if Simpson faces an unexpected primary defeat that weakens the nominee, though neither scenario appears likely based on current filings and district trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,944結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Mike Simpson, serving his 14th term, faces two primary challengers on May 19 but holds clear advantages in name recognition and fundraising ahead of the November general election. With no prominent Democratic candidates advancing, the race lacks the polling volatility or competitive dynamics seen in swing districts. Traders’ consensus around a Republican victory aligns with historical results in this eastern Idaho and Boise-area seat. An upset could occur only if an unusually strong Democratic recruit emerges or if Simpson faces an unexpected primary defeat that weakens the nominee, though neither scenario appears likely based on current filings and district trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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