**Clear skies and light northerly winds overnight are allowing strong radiative cooling across Ankara's high plateau, driving the minimum temperature toward 17°C or lower according to multiple forecast models.** Official guidance from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models consistently projects an overnight low in the 16–18°C range for August 27, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region under stable high-pressure conditions. This scientific consensus underpins the market's 99.6% implied probability for 17°C or below. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or warm-air advection would realistically push the recorded minimum above 18°C, though current observations and model runs show no such development.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日安卡拉最低溫度?
17°C或以下 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$9,686 交易量
$9,686 交易量
17°C或以下
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
17°C或以下 100.0%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$9,686 交易量
$9,686 交易量
17°C或以下
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
**Clear skies and light northerly winds overnight are allowing strong radiative cooling across Ankara's high plateau, driving the minimum temperature toward 17°C or lower according to multiple forecast models.** Official guidance from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models consistently projects an overnight low in the 16–18°C range for August 27, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region under stable high-pressure conditions. This scientific consensus underpins the market's 99.6% implied probability for 17°C or below. Only a sharp, unexpected increase in cloud cover or warm-air advection would realistically push the recorded minimum above 18°C, though current observations and model runs show no such development.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions