**Trader consensus at 100% on 76-77°F as the lowest temperature in Austin on September 13, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming a minimum in that narrow range overnight.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow limited radiative cooling under elevated humidity and dew points near 70°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 68-69°F but recent warm advection kept readings higher. Model runs and real-time mesonet data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for deviation once the calendar day closed. Realistic challenges remain limited to station-specific reporting differences, minor calibration adjustments, or an unusually localized cold pocket, though surface observations across the metro area converged on the same narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月13日奧斯汀最低溫度？
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$1,030 交易量
$1,030 交易量
2026-09-13
69°F或以下
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
是
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88°F或更高
否
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F或以下 <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$1,030 交易量
$1,030 交易量
2026-09-13
69°F或以下
$76 交易量
否
70-71°F
$76 交易量
否
72-73°F
$89 交易量
否
74-75°F
$136 交易量
否
76-77°F
$156 交易量
是
78-79°F
$278 交易量
否
80-81°F
$109 交易量
否
82-83°F
$110 交易量
否
84-85°F
$0 交易量
否
86-87°F
$0 交易量
否
88°F或更高
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 76-77°F as the lowest temperature in Austin on September 13, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming a minimum in that narrow range overnight.**
Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow limited radiative cooling under elevated humidity and dew points near 70°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 68-69°F but recent warm advection kept readings higher. Model runs and real-time mesonet data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for deviation once the calendar day closed.
Realistic challenges remain limited to station-specific reporting differences, minor calibration adjustments, or an unusually localized cold pocket, though surface observations across the metro area converged on the same narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,030結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 76-77°F as the lowest temperature in Austin on September 13, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming a minimum in that narrow range overnight.**
Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow limited radiative cooling under elevated humidity and dew points near 70°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 68-69°F but recent warm advection kept readings higher. Model runs and real-time mesonet data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for deviation once the calendar day closed.
Realistic challenges remain limited to station-specific reporting differences, minor calibration adjustments, or an unusually localized cold pocket, though surface observations across the metro area converged on the same narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,030結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% on 76-77°F as the lowest temperature in Austin on September 13, 2026, reflects official station observations confirming a minimum in that narrow range overnight.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow limited radiative cooling under elevated humidity and dew points near 70°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows hover around 68-69°F but recent warm advection kept readings higher. Model runs and real-time mesonet data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for deviation once the calendar day closed. Realistic challenges remain limited to station-specific reporting differences, minor calibration adjustments, or an unusually localized cold pocket, though surface observations across the metro area converged on the same narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions