Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent high pressure and light winds over the Korean Peninsula, supporting overnight lows near 24–26°C for coastal Busan on August 26 amid typical late-summer humidity and sea-breeze moderation. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any late-arriving frontal moisture could push the minimum either above 28°C or below 23°C—ranges that historically occur when radiative cooling is suppressed or enhanced. With August climatological minima averaging 23–25°C, current model consensus leaves meaningful probability for both warmer tropical-night conditions and brief cooling episodes, keeping multiple temperature thresholds near even implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日釜山的最低溫度?
22°C or below 96%
32°C or higher 93%
28°C 85%
27°C 49%
22°C or below
96%
23°C
48%
24°C
44%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
49%
28°C
85%
29°C
2%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C or higher
93%
22°C or below 96%
32°C or higher 93%
28°C 85%
27°C 49%
22°C or below
96%
23°C
48%
24°C
44%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
49%
28°C
85%
29°C
2%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration show persistent high pressure and light winds over the Korean Peninsula, supporting overnight lows near 24–26°C for coastal Busan on August 26 amid typical late-summer humidity and sea-breeze moderation. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any late-arriving frontal moisture could push the minimum either above 28°C or below 23°C—ranges that historically occur when radiative cooling is suppressed or enhanced. With August climatological minima averaging 23–25°C, current model consensus leaves meaningful probability for both warmer tropical-night conditions and brief cooling episodes, keeping multiple temperature thresholds near even implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions