**Trader consensus has converged on 20°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Busan on September 9, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts and real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration.** Multiple models and station data show overnight lows stabilizing near 20°C (68°F) under partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 mph, following daytime highs around 23–26°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where marine influence and seasonal transition moderate extremes. The 100% market-implied probability reflects high confidence in KMA’s final measurement, though minor deviations could arise from station-specific siting, rounding conventions, or unforecasted radiative cooling if skies clear further overnight. Updated model runs and official daily summaries remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日釜山的最低溫度？
9月9日釜山的最低溫度？
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,872 交易量
$1,872 交易量
2026-09-09
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,872 交易量
$1,872 交易量
2026-09-09
16°C或以下
$60 交易量
否
17°C
$65 交易量
否
18°C
$87 交易量
否
19°C
$82 交易量
否
20°C
$198 交易量
是
21°C
$467 交易量
否
22°C
$219 交易量
否
23°C
$145 交易量
否
24°C
$188 交易量
否
25°C
$205 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$157 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 20°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Busan on September 9, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts and real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration.** Multiple models and station data show overnight lows stabilizing near 20°C (68°F) under partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 mph, following daytime highs around 23–26°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where marine influence and seasonal transition moderate extremes. The 100% market-implied probability reflects high confidence in KMA’s final measurement, though minor deviations could arise from station-specific siting, rounding conventions, or unforecasted radiative cooling if skies clear further overnight. Updated model runs and official daily summaries remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,872結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 20°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Busan on September 9, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts and real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration.** Multiple models and station data show overnight lows stabilizing near 20°C (68°F) under partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 mph, following daytime highs around 23–26°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where marine influence and seasonal transition moderate extremes. The 100% market-implied probability reflects high confidence in KMA’s final measurement, though minor deviations could arise from station-specific siting, rounding conventions, or unforecasted radiative cooling if skies clear further overnight. Updated model runs and official daily summaries remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,872結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on 20°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Busan on September 9, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts and real-time observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration.** Multiple models and station data show overnight lows stabilizing near 20°C (68°F) under partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–15 mph, following daytime highs around 23–26°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where marine influence and seasonal transition moderate extremes. The 100% market-implied probability reflects high confidence in KMA’s final measurement, though minor deviations could arise from station-specific siting, rounding conventions, or unforecasted radiative cooling if skies clear further overnight. Updated model runs and official daily summaries remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions